Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guangzhou 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Kasidit Samrej		Yaroslav Demin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.91
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.7	2.01	Watch
	1.74	1.98
	1.75	1.94	Watch
	1.76	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.56)	1.96 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kasidit Samrej
52.9%

Yaroslav Demin
47.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasidit Samrej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kasidit Samrej's form might have worsened.

Yaroslav Demin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yaroslav Demin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasidit Samrej than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kasidit Samrej - Yaroslav Demin Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Samrej will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samrej is ranked ATP: 397., and Demin is ranked ATP: 653..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Samrej could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Yaroslav Demin - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.05%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kasidit Samrej
ATP Challenger
18.10.26	Kasidit Samrej - Naoya Honda	2:1 ✺
08.10.26	Fajing Sun - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
06.10.26	Kasidit Samrej - Enzo Aguiard	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
19.09.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Kasidit Samrej	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Timofey Skatov - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWL
- Yaroslav Demin
ATP Challenger
18.10.26	Yaroslav Demin - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.10.26	Yaroslav Demin - Matthew Dellavedova	1:2 ✺
14.10.26	Yaroslav Demin - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Yaroslav Demin - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
05.10.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Yaroslav Demin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kasidit Samrej
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Rei Sakamoto - Kasidit Samrej	✺
- Yaroslav Demin
ATP Challenger
25.10.26	Martin Borisiouk - Yaroslav Demin	✺

Kasidit Samrej - Yaroslav Demin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide