Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 3, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Wuning 3 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Keisuke Saitoh		Akira Santillan

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.25	1.62
	2.19	1.59	Watch
	2.35	1.60
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.25	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.51)	1.59 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keisuke Saitoh
41.4%

Akira Santillan
58.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.6%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keisuke Saitoh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Akira Santillan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keisuke Saitoh than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keisuke Saitoh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akira Santillan than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Akira Santillan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Keisuke Saitoh - Akira Santillan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Saitoh is ranked ATP: 550., and Santillan is ranked ATP: 324..

Saitoh has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Santillan has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Santillan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Santillan holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keisuke Saitoh
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Hiroki Moriya - Keisuke Saitoh	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Dominik Palan	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Yusuke Takahashi	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Zicong Wang	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Mattia Bellucci - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWL
- Akira Santillan
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Yaroslav Demin - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
05.10.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Akira Santillan	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Akira Santillan - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
23.09.26	Alex Bolt - Akira Santillan	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Kaigaoge Kang - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLW

Keisuke Saitoh - Akira Santillan

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Keisuke Saitoh - Akira Santillan Predictions

Preview

Form

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