Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Laura Siegemund		Karolina Pliskova

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.06	1.87
	2.02	1.79	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.02	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.33)	1.82 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laura Siegemund
47.4%

Karolina Pliskova
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laura Siegemund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Laura Siegemund's performance.

Karolina Pliskova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karolina Pliskova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laura Siegemund than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Laura Siegemund that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Pliskova than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karolina Pliskova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Laura Siegemund - Karolina Pliskova Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Siegemund will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Pliskova will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pliskova: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pliskova (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Pliskova (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Pliskova (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Siegemund is ranked WTA: 46. Pliskova is ranked WTA: 130.

Recent performances by Siegemund have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pliskova is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pliskova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Siegemund won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Laura Siegemund - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.56%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laura Siegemund
WTA Roma
08.05.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Laura Siegemund	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Laura Siegemund - Sara Bejlek	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
23.04.26	Laura Siegemund - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Laura Siegemund - Irina-Camelia Begu	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
15.04.26	Iga Swiatek - Laura Siegemund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWL
- Karolina Pliskova
WTA Roma
08.05.26	Karolina Pliskova - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Karolina Pliskova - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:1 ✺
WTA Madrid
29.04.26	Karolina Pliskova - Anastasia Potapova	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Solana Sierra - Karolina Pliskova	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Elise Mertens - Karolina Pliskova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
22.01.20	Laura Siegemund - Karolina Pliskova	0:2
WTA Stuttgart
28.04.17	Laura Siegemund - Karolina Pliskova	2:1

Laura Siegemund - Karolina Pliskova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide