The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Roberto Carballes Baena 38.2%
Alex Molcan 61.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.6%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Carballes Baena's form might have worsened.
Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Molcan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+16.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-16.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Molcan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Roberto Carballes Baena - Alex Molcan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 204.Molcan is ranked ATP: 163.
Both players have been playing unpredictably.
Carballes Baena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carballes Baena won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).