Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday


	Learner Tien		Jannik Sinner

	1	2
	9	1.07	Watch
			Watch
	8.8	1.07
	8.9	1.1
	8.99	1.08	Watch
	9	1.06	Watch
	10	1.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.12 ↑ (8.23)	1.08 ↑ (1.07)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
10.5%

Jannik Sinner
89.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.5%

88.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Learner Tien - Jannik Sinner Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Sinner will win (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Tien (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Sinner (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 19.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 27. Sinner is ranked ATP: 2.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

In this match, Sinner is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tien won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Jannik Sinner - the odds 1.07 are the expected chance of winning is 88.49%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.26	Learner Tien - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Ben Shelton - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Adam Walton - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
21.02.26	Tommy Paul - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Learner Tien - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLW
- Jannik Sinner
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.26	Joao Fonseca - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Denis Shapovalov - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Jannik Sinner	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Alexei Popyrin - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Beijing
01.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Learner Tien	2:0

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