Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Learner Tien		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.11
	1.71	2.27
	1.72	2.12	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.65)	2.15 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
55.4%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Learner Tien - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tien (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Davidovich Fokina (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 23 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -5.5 Games - Tien (5.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - Tien (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Tien (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Tien (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Tien (votes: 8 - 80%). Davidovich Fokina (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 27. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 19.

Tien is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Davidovich Fokina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Davidovich Fokina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tien won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Learner Tien - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 57.25%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Ben Shelton - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Adam Walton - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
21.02.26	Tommy Paul - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Learner Tien - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Learner Tien - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Daniel Altmaier - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
13.02.26	Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
24.07.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Learner Tien	2:0

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