Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Super Tennis


	Leylah Annie Fernandez		Mirra Andreeva

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.37
	3.2	1.43
	3.01	1.41	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.81	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.21)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leylah Annie Fernandez
31.8%

Mirra Andreeva
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leylah Annie Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Mirra Andreeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leylah Annie Fernandez than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirra Andreeva than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Leylah Annie Fernandez - Mirra Andreeva Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Fernandez will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Andreeva will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Andreeva: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Andreeva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fernandez is ranked WTA: 25. Andreeva is ranked WTA: 8.

Now, both players are in good form.

In this match, Andreeva is considered a favorite.

We predict that Andreeva will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fernandez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Madrid
27.04.26	Ann Li - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Iva Jovic	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Julia Grabher	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
17.04.26	Elena Rybakina - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Zeynep Sonmez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLW
- Mirra Andreeva
WTA Madrid
27.04.26	Mirra Andreeva - Anna Bondar	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Mirra Andreeva - Dalma Galfi	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Mirra Andreeva - Panna Udvardy	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
18.04.26	Elena Rybakina - Mirra Andreeva	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Iga Swiatek - Mirra Andreeva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Adelaide
12.01.26	Mirra Andreeva - Leylah Annie Fernandez	Canceled
WTA Hong Kong
12.10.23	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Mirra Andreeva	2:1
WTA Madrid
26.04.23	Mirra Andreeva - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:0

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