Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Houston - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Liam Draxl		Mitchell Krueger

	1	2
			Watch
	1.59	2.21	Watch
	1.65	2.32
	1.61	2.26	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.61	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)	2.23 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
58%

Mitchell Krueger
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Mitchell Krueger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liam Draxl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mitchell Krueger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Liam Draxl - Mitchell Krueger Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Draxl will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Krueger will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draxl is ranked ATP: 147. Krueger is ranked ATP: 254.

In recent matches, Draxl has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Krueger is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Draxl may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Draxl won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Liam Draxl - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.33%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Quentin Halys - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Liam Draxl - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Christian Garin - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Rei Sakamoto - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLL
- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Mitchell Krueger - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Mitchell Krueger - Blaise Bicknell	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Mitchell Krueger - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
07.02.26	Rafael Jodar - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.01.26	Mitchell Krueger - Zachary Svajda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.05.24	Liam Draxl - Mitchell Krueger	1:2

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