Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Ignacio Buse		Liam Draxl

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.08	Watch
	1.7	2.23
	1.67	2.15	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.19	Watch
	1.86	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.86)	2.1 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
55.1%

Liam Draxl
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ignacio Buse's performance.

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liam Draxl might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ignacio Buse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liam Draxl could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ignacio Buse - Liam Draxl Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Buse will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Draxl will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draxl: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Buse (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liam Draxl will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Buse (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Draxl (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 66. Draxl is ranked ATP: 147.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Buse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Ignacio Buse - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Liam Draxl - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Santiago
24.02.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
22.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Ignacio Buse - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Joao Fonseca - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Igor Marcondes - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLWWW
- Liam Draxl
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Liam Draxl - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Liam Draxl - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.01.26	Sebastian Korda - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Trevor Svajda - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW

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