Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Liam Draxl		Jay Clarke

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.85	Watch
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.45	2.85
	1.45	2.67	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.42	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.56)	2.71 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
65.4%

Jay Clarke
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liam Draxl's performance.

Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jay Clarke might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liam Draxl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jay Clarke could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Liam Draxl - Jay Clarke Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Draxl (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Liam Draxl will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draxl is ranked ATP: 147. Clarke is ranked ATP: 179.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Draxl may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Liam Draxl - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59.67%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Jay Clarke - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.33%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Christian Garin - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Rei Sakamoto - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Liam Draxl - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLW
- Jay Clarke
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Jay Clarke - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Andrej Martin - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Maik Steiner - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Jay Clarke - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Masamichi Imamura - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLL

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