Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Final

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Lisa Pigato		Marina Bassols Ribera

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.44
	1.57	2.34	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.62	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.89)	2.32 ↑ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lisa Pigato
59.4%

Marina Bassols Ribera
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lisa Pigato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lisa Pigato's performance.

Marina Bassols Ribera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marina Bassols Ribera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lisa Pigato than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lisa Pigato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marina Bassols Ribera than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marina Bassols Ribera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lisa Pigato - Marina Bassols Ribera Predictions

Users Predictions: Lisa Pigato will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pigato is ranked WTA: 189. Bassols Ribera is ranked WTA: 205.

Pigato has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bassols Ribera is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Pigato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pigato could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pigato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Marina Bassols Ribera - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lisa Pigato
ATP Challenger
11.04.26	Polina Kudermetova - Lisa Pigato	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Lisa Pigato - Lina Gjorcheska	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Lisa Pigato - Laura Samsonova	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Darja Semenistaja - Lisa Pigato	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Lisa Pigato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWL
- Marina Bassols Ribera
ATP Challenger
11.04.26	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo - Marina Bassols Ribera	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Elvina Kalieva	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Yue Yuan - Marina Bassols Ribera	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Polona Hercog	Hercog P. Retired ✺
07.04.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Joanna Garland	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWW??

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.03.22	Marina Bassols Ribera - Lisa Pigato	2:1

Lisa Pigato - Marina Bassols Ribera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide