Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.77	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.77	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.75)	1.4 (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
33.8%

Vilius Gaubas
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Lorenzo Giustino - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Gaubas will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 305. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 149.

Giustino is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gaubas is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Giustino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gaubas will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Gaubas to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Giustino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Giovanni Fonio - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
02.04.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.03.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Ignacio Parisca - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
06.04.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Ignacio Buse - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.08.24	Vilius Gaubas - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0

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