The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lorenzo Musetti 59.7%
Sebastian Korda 40.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.3%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.2%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Musetti's form might have worsened.
Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Korda's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Musetti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Korda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
59.4%
0%
40.6%
Lorenzo Musetti - Sebastian Korda Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 19 - 59.4%). Korda will win (votes: 13 - 40.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 42.4% – 76.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Recent matches Musetti is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Korda is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Korda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Musetti will have a small advantage in this match.
Watch
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