Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Italy	Super Tennis
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Lorenzo Sonego		Tristan Schoolkate

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.35	3.09	Watch
	1.38	3.25
	1.35	3.14	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.39	3.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.21)	3.14 ↓ (4.68)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
69.6%

Tristan Schoolkate
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.5%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Sonego's form might have worsened.

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tristan Schoolkate's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Lorenzo Sonego - Tristan Schoolkate Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sonego (votes: 1 - 50%). Schoolkate (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 Games - Schoolkate (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Sets - Sonego (2.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Sonego will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sonego (votes: 2 - 50%). Schoolkate (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 35. Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 97.

Recent performances by Sonego have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Schoolkate is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Schoolkate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sonego is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Stefan Dostanic	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Zizou Bergs - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
01.08.25	Andrey Rublev - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL
- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Winston-Salem
17.08.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Cannon Kingsley	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Lorenzo Sonego - Tristan Schoolkate: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide