Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: TOKYO (JAPAN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 17 October 2023, Tuesday


	Francisco Cerundolo		Diego Sebastian Schwartzman

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.62	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.26
	1.66	2.35
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.64	2.26	Watch
	1.63	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.63)	2.28 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
58.2%

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Diego Sebastian Schwartzman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diego Sebastian Schwartzman than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Francisco Cerundolo - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Schwartzman will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Schwartzman is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Schwartzman could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cerundolo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Shanghai
10.10.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Marton Fucsovics - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
06.10.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
22.09.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Richard Berankis	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWW?
- Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
ATP Shanghai
11.10.23	Nicolas Jarry - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:1 ✺
09.10.23	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Jiri Lehecka - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.23	Alexander Zverev - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.22	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	1:2
07.03.21	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0

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