Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Joel Schwaerzler		Gustavo Heide

	1	2
	1.91	1.80
	1.75	2.00
	1.80	1.96
	1.79	2.09
	1.95	1.76	Watch
	1.78	2.02
	1.98	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.87)	1.91 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
50.6%

Gustavo Heide
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Gustavo Heide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Joel Schwaerzler - Gustavo Heide Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Schwaerzler (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 Games - Schwaerzler (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 150. Heide is ranked ATP: 133.

Recent performances by Schwaerzler have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Heide has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Joel Schwaerzler - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Gustavo Heide - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Kenta Miyoshi	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Andres Andrade	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Mathys Erhard - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWWW
- Gustavo Heide
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Harold Mayot - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.26	Luca Van Assche - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
18.07.26	Gustavo Heide - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Titouan Droguet - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Cezar Cretu - Gustavo Heide	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Joel Schwaerzler - Gustavo Heide: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide