Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Austria	Laola1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Laola1, Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Peru	ESPN 2
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Sweden	TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+


	Arthur Fils		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.36	3.10	Watch
	1.42	2.8	Watch
	1.45	3.05
	1.38	3.18
	1.43	2.95
	1.42	2.98	Watch
	1.45	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)	2.98 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
67.8%

Cameron Norrie
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Arthur Fils - Cameron Norrie Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fils (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Arthur Fils will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fils is ranked ATP: 24. Norrie is ranked ATP: 37.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fils may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fils is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fils won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Fils - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.63%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Montreal
06.08.26	Mariano Navone - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Zachary Svajda - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
28.07.26	Arthur Fils - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Matteo Berrettini - Arthur Fils	3:1 ✺
30.06.26	Raphael Collignon - Arthur Fils	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLW
- Cameron Norrie
ATP Montreal
06.08.26	Cameron Norrie - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Ignacio Buse - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
01.08.26	Cameron Norrie - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	Cameron Norrie - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLW

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