Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday


	Luca Van Assche		Raphael Collignon

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.14	1.63	Watch
	2.23	1.7
	2.12	1.66	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.1	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.39)	1.67 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
43.9%

Raphael Collignon
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Raphael Collignon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Luca Van Assche - Raphael Collignon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Collignon will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Van Assche is ranked ATP: 105. Collignon is ranked ATP: 77.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Collignon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Van Assche won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Raphael Collignon - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 61.13%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Peter Bertran	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Alexander Blockx - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW
- Raphael Collignon
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Joao Fonseca - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Luca Van Assche	2:0
14.06.24	Raphael Collignon - Luca Van Assche	2:0

Luca Van Assche - Raphael Collignon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide