Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.95	1.83	Watch
	1.81	1.97	Watch
	1.84	2.04
	1.74	2.06	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.57)	1.99 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
52%

Luciano Darderi
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mackenzie McDonald's form might have worsened.

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luciano Darderi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mackenzie McDonald, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	0%	38.9%

Mackenzie McDonald - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Darderi will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for McDonald: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mackenzie McDonald will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 102. Darderi is ranked ATP: 34.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, McDonald won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Winston-Salem
17.08.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Brandon Holt	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Corentin Moutet - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
28.07.25	Mackenzie McDonald - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
22.07.25	Ben Shelton - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWL
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Francisco Comesana - Luciano Darderi	Darderi L. retired ✺
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Alexander Blockx - Luciano Darderi	Canceled ✺
ATP Umag
26.07.25	Carlos Taberner - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
24.07.25	Dino Prizmic - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 ??WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
28.02.23	Luciano Darderi - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2

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