Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 July 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: All England Club (London) 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	15:15	Max, Max
Bulgaria	16:15	Max
Czech Republic	15:15	Max
Finland	16:15	Max
Hungary	15:15	Max
Netherlands	15:15	Max
Norway	15:15	MAX
Romania	16:15	Max
Sweden	15:15	Max


	Arthur Fery		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.65	2.18
	1.81	1.96	Watch
	1.8	2.13
			Watch
	1.73	2.1
	4.5	1.25	Watch
	1.81	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.29)	1.94 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arthur Fery
47.4%

Luciano Darderi
52.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fery's performance.

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luciano Darderi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Fery that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luciano Darderi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.2%	0%	34.8%

Arthur Fery - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Fery will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Darderi will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fery: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Fery (votes: 4 - 40%). Darderi (votes: 6 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

#ad

Preview

Fery is ranked ATP: 461. Darderi is ranked ATP: 59.

Fery is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Darderi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fery may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fery
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Alexei Popyrin - Arthur Fery	1:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Terence Atmane - Arthur Fery	2:1 ✺
16.06.25	Fabio Fognini - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
15.06.25	Arthur Fery - Ugo Blanchet	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLWWW
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Luciano Darderi - Roman Safiullin	3:2 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
28.06.25	Marin Cilic - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
26.06.25	Matteo Berrettini - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.25	Luciano Darderi - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
ATP Halle
16.06.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fery
ATP Vienna
30.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Arthur Fery	✺
29.10.26	Arthur Fery - Lorenzo Musetti	✺
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Vienna
29.10.26	Tommy Paul - Luciano Darderi	✺

Arthur Fery - Luciano Darderi