Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Yannick Hanfmann		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45	Watch
	2.86	1.5
	2.64	1.49	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.67	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.43)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yannick Hanfmann
35.4%

Luciano Darderi
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yannick Hanfmann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Yannick Hanfmann - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luciano Darderi will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 59. Darderi is ranked ATP: 20.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Darderi could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hanfmann won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Luciano Darderi - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.91%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Roma
06.05.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
ATP Munich
13.04.26	Alexander Blockx - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
03.04.26	Luciano Darderi - Yannick Hanfmann	Darderi L. Walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWL?
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Madrid
27.04.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
15.04.26	Vit Kopriva - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marrakech
03.04.26	Luciano Darderi - Yannick Hanfmann	Darderi L. Walkover
ATP Santiago
01.03.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Luciano Darderi	0:2
ATP Cordoba
09.02.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Luciano Darderi	0:2
04.02.23	Yannick Hanfmann - Luciano Darderi	0:2

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