Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Luciano Darderi		Tom Gentzsch

	1	2
	1.1	7	Watch
	1.11	5.5	Watch
	1.09	6	Watch
	1.12	7.05
	1.26	3.66	Watch
			Watch
	1.09	6.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↑ (1.07)	5.91 ↓ (9)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
84%

Tom Gentzsch
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

89.4%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luciano Darderi's form might have worsened.

Tom Gentzsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tom Gentzsch's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Luciano Darderi - Tom Gentzsch Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gentzsch will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gentzsch (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 34. Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 370.

Darderi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gentzsch is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gentzsch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Darderi is the obvious favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Luciano Darderi - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Luciano Darderi - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Luciano Darderi - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.25	Luciano Darderi - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
27.08.25	Luciano Darderi - Eliot Spizzirri	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW
- Tom Gentzsch
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Tom Gentzsch - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Tom Gentzsch - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Tom Gentzsch - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Tom Gentzsch - Gregoire Jacq	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW

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