Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Ludmilla Samsonova		Leylah Annie Fernandez

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.76	2.08	Watch
	1.83	2.06
	1.74	2.05	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.78	2.03	Watch
	1.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.54)	2.05 ↓ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludmilla Samsonova
53.6%

Leylah Annie Fernandez
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ludmilla Samsonova's form might have worsened.

Leylah Annie Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leylah Annie Fernandez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leylah Annie Fernandez than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Ludmilla Samsonova - Leylah Annie Fernandez Predictions

Users Predictions: Ludmilla Samsonova will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ludmilla Samsonova will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samsonova is ranked WTA: 17. Fernandez is ranked WTA: 27.

Recent performances by Samsonova have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fernandez has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Samsonova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Samsonova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Ludmilla Samsonova - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 61.5%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Doha
08.02.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Magdalena Frech	1:2 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
05.02.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Hailey Baptiste	1:2 ✺
03.02.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Janice Tjen	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
20.01.26	Laura Siegemund - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWL
- Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Doha
08.02.26	Ann Li - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:0 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
03.02.26	McCartney Kessler - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Ajla Tomljanovic - Leylah Annie Fernandez	Canceled ✺
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Janice Tjen	0:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
12.01.26	Diana Shnaider - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LL?LL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Strasbourg
21.05.24	Ludmilla Samsonova - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:1
WTA Doha
12.02.24	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0
WTA US Open
31.08.22	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2

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