Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday


	Luka Pavlovic		Tristan Schoolkate

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.43	1.54	Watch
	2.33	1.53	Watch
	2.40	1.58
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.57)	1.54 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luka Pavlovic
39.5%

Tristan Schoolkate
60.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luka Pavlovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tristan Schoolkate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Luka Pavlovic - Tristan Schoolkate Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Pavlovic will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Schoolkate will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 207., and Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 155..

Pavlovic has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Schoolkate is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Schoolkate could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Schoolkate holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan Schoolkate - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.09%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
12.10.26	Luka Pavlovic - Kangyuan Shi	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Luka Pavlovic - Thomas John Fancutt	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Luka Pavlovic - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Akira Santillan - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLW
- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Dane Sweeny - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.10.26	Harold Mayot - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
30.09.26	Philip Henning - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Matteo Martineau - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Luka Pavlovic - Tristan Schoolkate: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide