Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Dane Sweeny		Tristan Schoolkate

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.20	1.64	Watch
	2.2	1.64	Watch
	2.18	1.66
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.21	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.48)	1.64 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dane Sweeny
42.9%

Tristan Schoolkate
57.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dane Sweeny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dane Sweeny's performance.

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tristan Schoolkate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Dane Sweeny - Tristan Schoolkate Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sweeny will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Schoolkate will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Schoolkate (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sweeny is ranked ATP: 110., and Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 153..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sweeny won 1.

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Sweeny may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Schoolkate holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Sweeny has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:9 (averaging 0.4:1.3 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Tristan Schoolkate - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.31%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dane Sweeny
ATP Challenger
02.10.26	Alex Bolt - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Omar Jasika - Dane Sweeny	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.26	Dane Sweeny - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
05.09.26	Luciano Darderi - Dane Sweeny	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL
- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
01.10.26	Harold Mayot - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
30.09.26	Philip Henning - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Matteo Martineau - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Matisse Bobichon - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.02.26	Dane Sweeny - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1
ITF Tournaments
24.03.22	Tristan Schoolkate - Dane Sweeny	2:0
01.03.22	Tristan Schoolkate - Dane Sweeny	2:0
Exhibition UTR Pro Match Series Men
14.12.20	Tristan Schoolkate - Dane Sweeny	Canceled
01.12.20	Tristan Schoolkate - Dane Sweeny	2:0
24.11.20	Tristan Schoolkate - Dane Sweeny	2:1
27.10.20	Tristan Schoolkate - Dane Sweeny	Schoolkate T. retired

Dane Sweeny - Tristan Schoolkate: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide