Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Rei Sakamoto		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
	2.05	1.72
			Watch
	2.63	1.49	Watch
	2.14	1.66	Watch
	2.05	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.21)	1.64 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
42.5%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Rei Sakamoto - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakamoto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 189. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 114.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Basilashvili may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Basilashvili could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Rei Sakamoto - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Tyler Zink - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Kaylan Bigun - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Rei Sakamoto - Eliot Spizzirri	Sakamoto R. retired ✺
29.07.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWL?W
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	James McCabe - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Marc-Andrea Huesler	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Gauthier Onclin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alexander Shevchenko	Basilashvili N. retired ✺
14.08.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLW?W

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