Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday


	Thiago Monteiro		Roman Andres Burruchaga

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.6	Watch
	2.00	1.75	Watch
	2.11	1.68	Watch
	2.12	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2)	1.66 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
44%

Roman Andres Burruchaga
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Roman Andres Burruchaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Thiago Monteiro - Roman Andres Burruchaga Predictions

Users Predictions: Roman Andres Burruchaga will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Monteiro is ranked ATP: 170. Burruchaga is ranked ATP: 146.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Monteiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monteiro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Roman Andres Burruchaga - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.76%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Thiago Monteiro - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Luciano Darderi - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Enrico Dalla Valle - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Thiago Monteiro - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWW
- Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Vilius Gaubas - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	Hynek Barton - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Justin Engel	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.01.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Thiago Monteiro	2:1

Thiago Monteiro - Roman Andres Burruchaga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide