Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	19:10	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:10	HBO Max
Bulgaria	20:10	HBO Max
Croatia	19:10	HBO Max
Czech Republic	19:10	HBO Max
Denmark	19:10	HBO Max
Finland	20:10	HBO Max
France	19:10	HBO Max
Hungary	19:10	HBO Max
Moldova	20:10	HBO Max
Montenegro	19:10	HBO Max
Netherlands	19:10	HBO Max
North Macedonia	19:10	HBO Max
Norway	19:10	HBO Max
Poland	19:10	HBO Max
Romania	20:10	HBO Max
Serbia	19:10	HBO Max
Slovenia	19:10	HBO Max
Spain	19:10	HBO Max
Sweden	19:10	HBO Max


	Benjamin Bonzi		Marcos Giron

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	2.02	1.89
	1.89	1.89	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.93	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.88)	1.9 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Bonzi
49.6%

Marcos Giron
50.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Bonzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.7%	0%	42.3%

Benjamin Bonzi - Marcos Giron Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Bonzi will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). Giron will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bonzi: 38.7% – 76.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bonzi (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Giron (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Giron (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Bonzi (votes: 4 - 50%). Giron (votes: 4 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Bonzi is ranked ATP: 51. Giron is ranked ATP: 55.

Bonzi is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Giron is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Marcos Giron - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Daniil Medvedev - Benjamin Bonzi	2:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
07.08.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WLWWW
- Marcos Giron
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Mariano Navone - Marcos Giron	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Mariano Navone - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Marcos Giron - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Marcos Giron - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
22.07.25	Jaume Munar - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Benjamin Bonzi - Marcos Giron