Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday


	Marcos Giron		Roberto Bautista-Agut

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.95	1.8	Watch
	1.97	1.91
	1.94	1.84	Watch
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	2.02	1.82	Watch
	1.95	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.75)	1.85 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
48.8%

Roberto Bautista-Agut
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marcos Giron's form might have worsened.

Roberto Bautista-Agut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Bautista-Agut's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Marcos Giron - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Giron will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bautista-Agut: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bautista-Agut (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giron is ranked ATP: 45. Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 56.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Giron may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Giron won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Roberto Bautista-Agut - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.69%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Roma
12.05.25	Marcos Giron - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Gabriel Diallo - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Marcos Giron - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Marcos Giron - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWLL
- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Tommy Paul - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
ATP Munich
15.04.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
17.08.22	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Marcos Giron	2:0
ATP Montreal
09.08.22	Marcos Giron - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2

Marcos Giron - Roberto Bautista-Agut: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide