Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Mariano Navone		Vit Kopriva

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.56	2.39	Watch
	1.53	2.44	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.57	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.91)	2.41 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
60.7%

Vit Kopriva
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariano Navone's performance.

Vit Kopriva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vit Kopriva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vit Kopriva than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vit Kopriva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Mariano Navone - Vit Kopriva Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Kopriva will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kopriva: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kopriva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Navone (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Navone (votes: 1 - 50%). Kopriva (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 73. Kopriva is ranked ATP: 87.

Navone is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kopriva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kopriva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Navone is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mariano Navone - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Mariano Navone - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Mariano Navone	Canceled ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Mariano Navone - Hamad Medjedovic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLW?L
- Vit Kopriva
ATP Rio de Janeiro
22.02.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Vit Kopriva - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Gustavo Heide - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWL

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