Match Info

Date: 5 November 2020, Thursday


	Marin Cilic		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.55	1.5	Watch
	2.44	1.51
	2.61	1.57
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.59	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (1.82)	1.53 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
37.8%

Ugo Humbert
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marin Cilic's form might have worsened.

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ugo Humbert's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marin Cilic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ugo Humbert, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.2%	0%	73.8%

Marin Cilic - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 122 users predict this event. Cilic will win (votes: 32 - 26.2%). Humbert will win (votes: 90 - 73.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 66% – 81.6%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Cilic is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Humbert is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Humbert could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Humbert will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Humbert to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Paris
03.11.20	Marin Cilic - Corentin Moutet	Cilic M. walkover ✺
02.11.20	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
ATP Cologne 2
19.10.20	Marin Cilic - Steve Johnson	0:2 ✺
19.10.20	Marin Cilic - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Canceled ✺
ATP Cologne
15.10.20	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 ?WL?L
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Paris
03.11.20	Ugo Humbert - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
02.11.20	Ugo Humbert - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
ATP Antwerp
25.10.20	Alex De Minaur - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
24.10.20	Daniel Evans - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
23.10.20	Lloyd George Harris - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWWWW

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