Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Australia	9Gem
Austria	Sky Sport Austria 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Colombia	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max, Oneplay
Denmark	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Finland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Peru	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Sweden	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+


	Martin Damm		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	4.00	1.25	Watch
	4.10	1.22
	4.00	1.24
	4.40	1.25
	4.02	1.23	Watch
	4.20	1.24
	4.22	1.23	Watch
	3.80	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (3.92)	1.24 ↓ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 39.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
23.2%

Francis Tiafoe
76.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

75.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Martin Damm - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Damm is ranked ATP: 92. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 23.

Damm has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tiafoe is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tiafoe is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Damm won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.26	Martin Damm - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Daniil Medvedev - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Martin Damm - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.26	Martin Damm - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Martin Damm - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLL
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Cincinnati
23.08.26	Arthur Fils - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Francis Tiafoe - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Learner Tien - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
27.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Martin Damm	3:1

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