Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Martin Damm		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	2.63	1.50	Watch
	2.70	1.45
	2.63	1.48	Watch
	2.79	1.51
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.70	1.49	Watch
	2.77	1.46	Watch
	2.65	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.63)	1.49 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
35.6%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

Martin Damm - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tsitsipas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Stefanos Tsitsipas will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Damm is ranked ATP: 104. Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 51.

Damm has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tsitsipas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Damm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tsitsipas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Tsitsipas will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefanos Tsitsipas - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.68%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Montreal
01.08.26	Martin Damm - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
28.07.26	Martin Damm - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Martin Damm - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Martin Damm - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Martin Damm	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWWL
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Montreal
01.08.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Keegan Rice	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
29.07.26	Alex De Minaur - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
ATP Gstaad
19.07.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Raphael Collignon	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW

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