Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bordeaux, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday


	Martin Damm		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.7	1.41	Watch
	2.79	1.48
	2.69	1.44	Watch
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.59	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.45)	1.43 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
34.3%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Martin Damm, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Manuel Cerundolo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Martin Damm - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Damm is ranked ATP: 115. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 72.

Damm is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cerundolo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cerundolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cerundolo might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 61.56%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Martin Damm - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Martin Damm - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Martin Damm - Jelle Sels	Canceled ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWW?L
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Luca Van Assche - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Christian Garin - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Federico Cina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLW

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