Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bordeaux, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday


	Luca Van Assche		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.15	1.6	Watch
	2.28	1.72
	2.17	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.23	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.85)	1.63 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
42.6%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Van Assche's form might have worsened.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Manuel Cerundolo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Manuel Cerundolo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Luca Van Assche - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van Assche: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Van Assche is ranked ATP: 97. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 72.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Cerundolo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Van Assche won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.87%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Luca Van Assche - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Luca Van Assche - Dusan Lajovic	Canceled ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Luca Van Assche - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Timofey Skatov - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 L?LLW
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Christian Garin - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Federico Cina	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Daniel Altmaier - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Luca Van Assche	0:2
ATP Roland Garros
17.05.22	Luca Van Assche - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2

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