Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Christian Garin		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.69	2.18	Watch
	1.71	2.29
	1.66	2.22	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.7	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.8)	2.21 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christian Garin
56.7%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Christian Garin - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: Christian Garin will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Christian Garin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Garin is ranked ATP: 104. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 72.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Garin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Garin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.37%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christian Garin
ATP Roma
05.05.26	Christian Garin - Jan Choinski	2:1 ✺
04.05.26	Christian Garin - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Christian Garin - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Moez Echargui - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Christian Garin - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLWL
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Federico Cina	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Daniel Altmaier - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Santiago
24.02.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Christian Garin	1:2

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