Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday


	Martin Landaluce		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.74	2.21
	1.66	2.08	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.5)	2.16 ↓ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Landaluce
56.5%

Hugo Gaston
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Landaluce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Landaluce than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Martin Landaluce - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Landaluce (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gaston (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Martin Landaluce will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Landaluce is ranked ATP: 105. Gaston is ranked ATP: 117.

Landaluce has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gaston has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gaston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Landaluce might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Landaluce will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Landaluce
ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Martin Landaluce - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Martin Landaluce - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.26	Sebastian Korda - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Martin Landaluce - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Luciano Darderi - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWWWW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Timofey Skatov - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.03.26	Hugo Gaston - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Hugo Gaston - Moise Kouame	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLW

Martin Landaluce - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide