Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday


	Alexei Popyrin		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.65	1.47
	2.89	1.49
	2.63	1.46	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.63	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.64)	1.48 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
35.5%

Matteo Berrettini
64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Alexei Popyrin have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Matteo Berrettini have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Matteo Berrettini will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Popyrin is ranked ATP: 60. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 100.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Popyrin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Berrettini is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Popyrin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Alexei Popyrin - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Alexei Popyrin - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
03.04.26	Alexei Popyrin - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Alex Michelsen - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Alexei Popyrin - Patrick Kypson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWW
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Matteo Berrettini - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Mariano Navone - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Patrick Kypson - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Dino Prizmic - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Raphael Collignon - Matteo Berrettini	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
22.10.25	Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Berrettini	0:2
ATP Paris
29.10.24	Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Berrettini	2:0
ATP Vienna
25.10.21	Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Berrettini	0:2
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
05.07.20	Matteo Berrettini - Alexei Popyrin	4:0
ATP US Open
31.08.19	Matteo Berrettini - Alexei Popyrin	3:1

Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Berrettini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide