Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Alexei Popyrin		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3	1.37	Watch
	3.36	1.37
	2.86	1.41	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	2.86	1.43	Watch
	3	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.37)	1.38 ↑ (1.28)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
31.1%

Daniil Medvedev
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

72.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alexei Popyrin - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Medvedev will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Popyrin (votes: 2 - 50%). Medvedev (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Popyrin (1.73) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +4 Games - Popyrin (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Popyrin (votes: 6 - 75%). Medvedev (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Popyrin is ranked ATP: 25. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11.

Popyrin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Medvedev is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Medvedev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Medvedev is the team to beat.

We predict that Medvedev will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Popyrin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Alexei Popyrin - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Alexei Popyrin - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLLW
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Cameron Norrie - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
01.05.25	Casper Ruud - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Laslo Djere	Medvedev D. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
30.10.24	Alexei Popyrin - Daniil Medvedev	2:1
ATP Miami
28.03.21	Daniil Medvedev - Alexei Popyrin	2:1
ATP Australian Open
25.01.20	Daniil Medvedev - Alexei Popyrin	3:0
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.19	Daniil Medvedev - Alexei Popyrin	3:1

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