Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: NEXT GEN FINALS - MILAN (WORLD), HARD (INDOOR)

Date: 10 November 2022, Thursday

Location: Allianz Cloud Arena (Milan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 2
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Matteo Arnaldi		Jiri Lehecka

	1	2
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.4
	2.95	1.4
	2.95	1.41
	3.02	1.42
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.77	1.44	Watch
	2.95	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.08)	1.42 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
33.2%

Jiri Lehecka
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Arnaldi's form might have worsened.

Jiri Lehecka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jiri Lehecka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Arnaldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jiri Lehecka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.9%	0%	58.1%

Matteo Arnaldi - Jiri Lehecka Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 13 - 41.9%). Lehecka will win (votes: 18 - 58.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lehecka: 40.7% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

#ad

Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Lehecka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Next Gen Finals
09.11.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Francesco Passaro	2:3 ✺
08.11.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima	2:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.11.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
03.11.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Liam Broady	2:1 ✺
02.11.22	Gregoire Barrere - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLWW
- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Next Gen Finals
09.11.22	Brandon Nakashima - Jiri Lehecka	3:0 ✺
08.11.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Jiri Lehecka	Canceled
08.11.22	Jiri Lehecka - Francesco Passaro	3:0 ✺
ATP Paris
30.10.22	Jiri Lehecka - Mikael Ymer	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Marcos Giron - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 L?WLW

Upcoming Matches