Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: NEXT GEN FINALS - MILAN (WORLD), HARD (INDOOR)

Date: 9 November 2022, Wednesday

Location: Allianz Cloud Arena (Milan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 2
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Matteo Arnaldi		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.55	2.4
	1.59	2.36
	1.62	2.44
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.4	Watch
	1.59	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (2.33)	2.38 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
60.3%

Francesco Passaro
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Arnaldi's performance.

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Passaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-19.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Arnaldi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+19.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francesco Passaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	0%	10.5%

Matteo Arnaldi - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 51 - 89.5%). Passaro will win (votes: 6 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 81.5% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Passaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Next Gen Finals
08.11.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima	2:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.11.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
03.11.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Liam Broady	2:1 ✺
02.11.22	Gregoire Barrere - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
27.10.22	Gilles Simon - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWL
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Next Gen Finals
08.11.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Francesco Passaro	Canceled
08.11.22	Jiri Lehecka - Francesco Passaro	3:0 ✺
ATP Napoli
20.10.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
17.10.22	Francesco Passaro - Filip Misolic	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Francesco Passaro - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?LLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.03.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Francesco Passaro	2:0

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