Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: NEXT GEN FINALS - MILAN (WORLD), HARD (INDOOR)

Date: 8 November 2022, Tuesday

Location: Allianz Cloud Arena (Milan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 2
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Jiri Lehecka		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	1.4	2.75
	1.44	2.62
	1.4	3
	1.43	2.85
	1.46	2.92
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.41	2.91	Watch
	1.45	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)	2.84 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
66.6%

Francesco Passaro
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	0%	13%

Jiri Lehecka - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: Jiri Lehecka will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Played with special rules.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Passaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lehecka will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Paris
30.10.22	Jiri Lehecka - Mikael Ymer	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Marcos Giron - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
22.10.22	Oscar Otte - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
20.10.22	Emil Ruusuvuori - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
18.10.22	Jiri Lehecka - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLLW
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Napoli
20.10.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
17.10.22	Francesco Passaro - Filip Misolic	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Francesco Passaro - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
ATP Florence
13.10.22	Francesco Passaro - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
11.10.22	Zhizhen Zhang - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW

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