Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal (Canada), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 August 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Rodriguez P. (Esp)


	Mackenzie McDonald		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	2	1.8
	1.93	1.88
	2.02	1.85
	2.01	1.84	Watch
	1.95	1.85	Watch
	1.96	1.85	Watch
	1.93	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.81)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
48.6%

Matteo Arnaldi
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Mackenzie McDonald - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 93. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 46.

Recent matches McDonald is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arnaldi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

McDonald could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Montreal
06.08.24	Mackenzie McDonald - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
04.08.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
29.07.24	Mattia Bellucci - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Atlanta
25.07.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2 ✺
23.07.24	Brandon Nakashima - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLLW
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Olympic Games
29.07.24	Dominik Koepfer - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
28.07.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
21.07.24	Alexandre Muller - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
15.07.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Francis Tiafoe	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLL

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