Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal (Canada), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday

Referee: Forcadell N. (Esp)


	Matteo Arnaldi		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.32	1.62
	2.4	1.64
	2.37	1.62	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.61	Watch
	2.32	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.08)	1.62 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
40.9%

Karen Khachanov
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Matteo Arnaldi - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Khachanov will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 46. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 22.

Recent matches Arnaldi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Khachanov is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arnaldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Khachanov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Montreal
07.08.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
29.07.24	Dominik Koepfer - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
28.07.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
21.07.24	Alexandre Muller - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
15.07.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLL
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Montreal
06.08.24	Gabriel Diallo - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
31.07.24	Seong Chan Hong - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.24	Quentin Halys - Karen Khachanov	3:2 ✺
03.07.24	Aslan Karatsev - Karen Khachanov	Karatsev A. retired ✺
ATP London
18.06.24	Sebastian Korda - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLL?L

Upcoming Matches