Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Olympic Games (World), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 July 2024, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Max


	Dominik Koepfer		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	3	1.4
	2.75	1.44
	2.9	1.42
	2.95	1.45
	2.82	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.9	1.42	Watch
	2.9	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.83)	1.43 (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dominik Koepfer
33.3%

Matteo Arnaldi
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dominik Koepfer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominik Koepfer than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	0%	95.8%

Dominik Koepfer - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Arnaldi will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Koepfer is ranked ATP: 63. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 40.

Koepfer is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Arnaldi is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arnaldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arnaldi is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Koepfer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominik Koepfer
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Milos Raonic - Dominik Koepfer	1:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
16.07.24	Dominik Koepfer - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Dominik Koepfer - Fabio Fognini	Canceled ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.24	Dominik Koepfer - Fabian Marozsan	Canceled ✺
ATP Halle
19.06.24	Dominik Koepfer - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WL??L
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
21.07.24	Alexandre Muller - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
15.07.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Francis Tiafoe	2:3 ✺
ATP London
19.06.24	Rinky Hijikata - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL

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