Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Richard Gasquet

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.22	4.1	Watch
	1.23	4.2	Watch
	1.23	4.13	Watch
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.23	4.34	Watch
	1.23	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.34)	4.19 ↑ (3.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
77.3%

Richard Gasquet
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.2%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Arnaldi's performance.

Richard Gasquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Richard Gasquet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richard Gasquet than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Matteo Arnaldi - Richard Gasquet Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Arnaldi will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 39. Gasquet is ranked ATP: 148.

Recent matches Arnaldi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gasquet is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gasquet could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arnaldi is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnaldi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Yibing Wu	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Andrey Rublev - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLWW
- Richard Gasquet
ATP Bucharest
02.04.25	Richard Gasquet - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
31.03.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Richard Gasquet	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.02.25	Richard Gasquet - Arthur Fery	Fery A. walkover ✺
19.02.25	Richard Gasquet - Charles Broom	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
11.02.25	Alexander Bublik - Richard Gasquet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LW?WL

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