Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Martin Landaluce		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.75	2.09	Watch
	1.76	2.27
	1.77	2.05	Watch
	1.68	2.2
	1.82	2.02	Watch
	1.77	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.03)	2.1 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Landaluce
54.4%

Matteo Arnaldi
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Landaluce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Martin Landaluce's performance.

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Arnaldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Landaluce than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Martin Landaluce that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Arnaldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Martin Landaluce - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Landaluce will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arnaldi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Landaluce is ranked ATP: 67. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 34.

Recent form of Landaluce has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arnaldi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Landaluce may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Martin Landaluce - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 47.13%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Matteo Arnaldi - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 52.87%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Landaluce
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.26	Martin Landaluce - Jack Draper	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
03.08.26	Nicolas Mejia - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
29.07.26	Michael Zheng - Martin Landaluce	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Martin Landaluce	3:0 ✺
ATP Mallorca
22.06.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Montreal
07.08.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Fabian Marozsan - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
27.07.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Lorenzo Musetti	Arnaldi M. Retired ✺
ATP Umag
16.07.26	Damir Dzumhur - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LW?LW

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