Match Info

Date: 27 January 2022, Thursday


	Matteo Berrettini		Rafael Nadal

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.44	Watch
	2.85	1.45
	2.75	1.43
	3.04	1.44
	2.75	1.44
	2.94	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.49)	1.44 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
33.7%

Rafael Nadal
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Rafael Nadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Nadal than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.7%	0%	39.3%

Matteo Berrettini - Rafael Nadal Predictions

Users Predictions: 214 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 130 - 60.7%). Nadal will win (votes: 84 - 39.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 54.2% – 67.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Both players in the last matches got series of victories.

Nadal will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Nadal to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Berrettini won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Australian Open
25.01.22	Gael Monfils - Matteo Berrettini	2:3 ✺
23.01.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Matteo Berrettini	0:3 ✺
20.01.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Matteo Berrettini	2:3 ✺
18.01.22	Stefan Kozlov - Matteo Berrettini	1:3 ✺
16.01.22	Brandon Nakashima - Matteo Berrettini	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW
- Rafael Nadal
ATP Australian Open
24.01.22	Denis Shapovalov - Rafael Nadal	2:3 ✺
22.01.22	Adrian Mannarino - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
21.01.22	Karen Khachanov - Rafael Nadal	1:3 ✺
18.01.22	Yannick Hanfmann - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
16.01.22	Marcos Giron - Rafael Nadal	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
06.09.19	Matteo Berrettini - Rafael Nadal	0:3

Matteo Berrettini - Rafael Nadal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide