Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Jelle Sels		Lui Maxted

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.97
	1.79	1.95	Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.62	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.72)	2.09 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
55%

Lui Maxted
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Lui Maxted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Jelle Sels - Lui Maxted Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Sels (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sels (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sels is ranked ATP: 372. Maxted is ranked ATP: 811.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Sels may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Leo Raquillet - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Sean Cuenin - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Dennis Novak - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
08.09.25	Eric Vanshelboim - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLWW
- Lui Maxted
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Ryan Peniston - Lui Maxted	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Filippo Moroni - Lui Maxted	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.08.25	Lui Maxted - Jorge Plans	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Lui Maxted - Toufik Sahtali	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Markus Molder - Lui Maxted	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWW

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