Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Reilly Opelka		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.49	2.52	Watch
			Watch
	1.79	2.05	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.49)	2.11 ↓ (2.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilly Opelka
55.2%

Mattia Bellucci
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reilly Opelka's form might have worsened.

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Reilly Opelka - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: Reilly Opelka will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reilly Opelka will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Opelka is ranked ATP: 62. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 77.

Opelka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bellucci is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bellucci may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilly Opelka
ATP Basel
24.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Reilly Opelka - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Sebastian Baez - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Reilly Opelka - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Reilly Opelka - Mika Brunold	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Basel
18.10.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Brussels
13.10.25	Marcos Giron - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Mattia Bellucci - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
22.09.25	Mattia Bellucci - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWL

Reilly Opelka - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide